The 23-24 June uprising of the Wagner group did not make the West happy; on the contrary, the allies were terrified of the prospect of Vladimir Putin’s regime crumbling and disintegration of the Russian Federation.
The collapse of Russia may result in thousands of little warlords like Yevgeny Prigozhin getting access to thousands of nuclear weapons – a genuine nightmare for the western civilization, according to Olexiy Arestovich, a former advisor to Ukrainian President Volodimir Zelenski.
“The corridor for our Western partners is very narrow. On the one hand, their task is to prevent Putin from starting a nuclear war in Europe, but on the other hand, they want to avoid the Putin regime to fall apart accidentally and clear the path for thousands of little Prigozhins grabbing the power in their hands,” Arestovich said during an interview with journalist Dmitry Gordon.
Russia’s victory would show Iran and China that such an aggression can go unpunished, so the Western allies agree that Putin must lose the war against Ukraine, he noted.
Arestovich, an influential blogger and an informed commentator on the ongoing Russia-Ukrainian war, blamed the West for the slow advance of the Ukrainian counteroffensive.
“They debated for nine months whether to give Ukraine more powerful weapons or not, and then clarified which types of weapons Kyiv needs. The Russians meanwhile raised strong defense lines and planted mines everywhere. The density of mines surpasses everything we know about the history of wars,” the former official stated.
The post-war the mine clearing job will take three times longer than the entire war period.
Another reason why the counteroffensive is slow rests in the lack of experience of newly-formed Ukrainian units, which have to earn the necessary experience in un-simulated attacks on fortified Russian positions rather than in training camps.
“Our boys pay with their blood for these lessons,” he observed.
A third reason lies in the shortage of long-range, high precision missiles and modern military planes. In Arestovich’s opinion, Ukraine is not match to Russia in this kind of weapons and takes hits after hits from afar, with no or little hope to respond accordingly.